پایان نامه بررسی رفتار تصادفی ظرفیت عملی بزرگراه و تاثیر آن در کنترل رمپ

فهرست:

1 کلیات تحقیق ...............................................................................................................................................................................1

1-1 مقدمه. 2

1-2 شرح مسئله. 3

1-3 اهداف پژوهش.... 5

1-4 سابقه تحقیق و اهمیت پژوهش.... 5

1-5 فرضیه‌های پژوهش.... 6

1-6 روش انجام پژوهش.... 7

1-7 مراحل پژوهش.... 7

1-8 دامنه کاربرد. 8

2 پیش زمینه و مروری بر تحقیقات گذشته .............................................................................................................. 9

2-1 مقدمه. 10

2-2 بهبود در برآورد ظرفیت بزرگراه 10

2-2-1 برآورد ظرفیت لحظه‌ای.. 12

2-2-2 برآورد جریان ترافیک کوتاه مدت.. 14

2-3 الگوریتم‌های کنترل رمپ... 15

2-3-1 الگوریتم  ALINEA.. 17

2-3-2 الگوریتم  Bottleneck. 18

3 مبانی و اصول و متدولوژی ............................................................................................................................................. 21

3-1 استراتژی‌های کنترل رمپ استفاده شده در پژوهش.... 22

3-1-1 الگوریتم ZONE.. 22

3-1-2 استراتژی کنترل Zone طبقه بندی شده (SZM) 24

3-1-3 ارزیابی مقدماتی.. 27

3-2 برآورد ظرفیت لحظه‌ای.. 27

3-2-1 برآورد ظرفیت نظری بزرگراه‌ها 28

3-2-1-1 روش جدید HCM برای تعیین ظرفیت یا حداکثر تردد سرویس در بزرگراه‌های چند خطه. 29

3-2-1-2 طبیعت تصادفی.. 31

3-2-1-3 بسته نرم افزار R.. 32

3-2-2 برآورد ظرفیت عملی.. 33

3-2-2-1روش میانگین متحرک... 34

3-3 کنترل رمپ با محدودیت احتمال.. 36

3-3-1 مدل خطی جبری برای کنترل رمپ... 36

3-3-2 برنامه‌ریزی احتمال محدود شده رفتار تصادفی.. 38

3-4 معرفی محور مورد مطالعه. 40

4 روش پیشنهادی در برآورد ظرفیت بزرگراه (مطالعه موردی: بزرگراه نیایش).............................42

4-1 مقدمه. 43

4-2 روش اول: برآورد ظرفیت لحظه‌ای.. 44

4-2-1 تاریخ‌های آزمایش.... 44

4-2-2 روش پیشنهادی.. 45

4-2-2-1 برآورد ظرفیت نظری.. 47

4-2-2-2 برآورد ظرفیت عملی.. 52

4-2-2-3  اشغال بحرانی.. 55

4-2-3 آزمایش و نتایج.. 56

4-2-3-1 فرایند کالیبراسیون.. 56

4-2-3-2 پویایی ظرفیت متغیر با زمان.. 58

4-2-4 بهبود عملکرد. 59

4-3 روش دوم: کنترل رمپ با محدودیت احتمال.. 62

4-3-1 رفتار تصادفی ظرفیت بزرگراه تحت شرایط متفاوت جریان.. 62

4-3-1-1 محل آزمایش.... 63

4-3-1-2 روز آزمایش.... 63

4-3-1-3 جمع آوری داده‌ها 64

4-3-1-4 برازش توزیع نرمال.. 67

4-3-1-5 معنای توزیع ظرفیت تصادفی آزادراه 69

4-3-2 الگوریتم ZONE در بزرگراه نیایش با در نظر گرفتن محدودیت احتمال.. 72

4-3-2-1 الگوریتم ZONE با در نظر گرفتن محدودیت احتمال.. 72

4-3-2-2 آزمایش شبیه سازی.. 75

4-3-2-3 فرایند معتبرسازی.. 75

4-3-2-4 نتایج آزمایش.... 76

5 نتایج و پیشنهادات ...............................................................................................................................................................80

5-1 نتایج.. 81

5-2 پیشنهادات.. 83

6 مراجع.. 85

چکیده انگلیسی.................................................................................................................................................................. 92

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